[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

NG Gammon percent vs Regular BG gammons

Posted By: KenB
Date: Thursday, 3 June 2010, at 3:24 p.m.

In Response To: BG verses Nackgammon - METs (KenB)

My gut reaction was to think that Nackgammon games had more gammon's than regular BG games but this small rollout (15k) has reg bg at 27.85 gammon's and NG at 27.47 percent gammon's! I do not believe that is large enough to effect the METs much.





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 194
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 194
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-bb---D-C---dD---c-d---BB-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 51.74% (G: 14.71% B: 1.03%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 48.26% (G: 12.76% B: 0.83%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 51.99% (G: 14.86% B: 1.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 48.01% (G: 12.62% B: 0.83%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.035
Double:+0.130
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.080
Double/Take:-0.518 (-0.598)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.920)
Best Cube action: No Double / Beaver
Rollout details
15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.008 (+0.073...+0.088)
Confidence Double: ± 0.022 (-0.539...-0.496)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 day 09 hours 41 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 167
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 167
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 52.36% (G: 15.02% B: 0.86%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 47.64% (G: 12.83% B: 0.69%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 52.74% (G: 15.38% B: 0.94%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 47.26% (G: 12.69% B: 0.67%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.047
Double:+0.169
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.105
Double/Take:-0.431 (-0.536)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.895)
Best Cube action: No Double / Beaver
Rollout details
15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+0.099...+0.112)
Confidence Double: ± 0.018 (-0.449...-0.413)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 17 hours 55 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.