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Longer SW $$ RO

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 22 March 2007, at 9:32 p.m.

In Response To: GNU money rollout (Chase)

A longer, still unstatistically significant, rollout. Maybe I feel this is such a strong double because I know so many ppl pass it lol

Money Game
White on roll. Cube Action?
161
156
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.531
0.8% 26.1% 67.0% 33.0% 7.5% 0.3%
95% confidence interval:

- money cubeless eq.: 0.531 ±0.013,

- live cube no double: 0.784 ±0.025, - live cube double take: 0.794 ±0.036. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1292 games (equiv. 32471 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.

Evaluations
1. Double, take 0.822
2. No double 0.771 (-0.051)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.178)
Proper cube action: Double, take
Live cube
1. Double, take 0.794
2. No double 0.784 (-0.010)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.206)
Proper cube action: Double, take

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