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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 14 November 2006, at 5:28 a.m.

In Response To: How's your backgame cube? (Stick)

As noted not that many rolls clear the point. (though I would throw in double 1s & double 2s as excellent rolls for blue that lose his market) Only 324 games but still clear it's best to wait and see what happens than to give White cube possession.

Money Game
Blue on roll. Cube Action?
139
62
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.238
0.1% 21.3% 54.0% 46.0% 5.4% 0.1%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.238 ±0.019. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 18562 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
1. No double 0.256
2. Double, take 0.146 (-0.110)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.744)
Proper cube action: No double, take13%

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