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Position of the Day 03-14-25 - Early game 44 - Rollout
Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 30 March 2025, at 10:29 a.m.
In Response To: Position of the Day 03-14-25 - Early game 44 (Stick)
It is so often correct to make the 9pt instead of other points when the opponent is either split to your 3pt or has your 3pt made. Obviously it's a great blocking point/pressure point.
John mentioned what he thought the dmp play was so I've included that rollout below also. He was dead on that it is the dmp play but it's just not 'clear enough'. In general it's a great way to approach a problem though if you can identify the dmp play then make that play. Pretty simple and will keep you out of trouble almost all of the time.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 156 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 160 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a-a--EBB---cD--ad-e----B-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue to play 44 |
1. | Rollout1 | 24/16* 13/9(2) | eq: +0.682 |
| Player: Opponent: | 65.95% (G:18.59% B:1.03%) 34.05% (G:7.69% B:0.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.670...+0.694) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 13 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 24/16* 7/3*(2) | eq: +0.642 (-0.040) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.44% (G:24.74% B:1.64%) 36.56% (G:8.73% B:0.37%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.631...+0.654) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 42 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout2 | 24/16*(2) | eq: +0.607 (-0.075) |
| Player: Opponent: | 66.04% (G:13.77% B:0.67%) 33.96% (G:7.29% B:0.22%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.591...+0.623) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds |
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1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
DMP

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 156 | 1 point match | pip: 160 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a-a--EBB---cD--ad-e----B-:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:1:10 |
Blue to play 44 |
1. | Rollout1 | 24/16*(2) | eq: +0.305 |
| Player: Opponent: | 65.27% (G:21.41% B:2.58%) 34.73% (G:7.36% B:0.59%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.302...+0.309) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 54 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 24/16* 13/9(2) | eq: +0.293 (-0.013) |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.63% (G:25.29% B:4.02%) 35.37% (G:8.78% B:0.88%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.288...+0.297) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 06 seconds |
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|
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
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