This position was posted on a Facebook backgammon page. I rolled it out and posted a summary of the rollout result on the same Facebook page. Someone asked me about the details of my rollout parameters. I am posting it here so that the questioner can see everything. Hope all readers here on Stick's site find this rollout result interesting.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/1* | eq: +1.753 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 84.00% (G:76.17% B:39.36%)
16.00% (G:0.85% B:0.11%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+1.738...+1.768) - [90.7%]
Duration: 37 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 7/2 4/1* | eq: +1.728 (-0.025) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 83.29% (G:75.75% B:39.54%)
16.71% (G:1.28% B:0.06%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+1.714...+1.743) - [0.9%]
Duration: 36 minutes 13 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 6/1* 5/2 | eq: +1.708 (-0.045) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 83.28% (G:75.57% B:37.71%)
16.72% (G:1.37% B:0.02%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+1.694...+1.723) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 43 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 24/21* 7/2 | eq: +1.689 (-0.064) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 82.26% (G:74.69% B:38.16%)
17.74% (G:0.50% B:0.01%) | Conf.: ± 0.042 (+1.646...+1.731) - [0.2%]
Duration: 2 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout3 | 7/2 5/2 | eq: +1.665 (-0.088) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 81.60% (G:74.22% B:37.95%)
18.40% (G:0.54% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.045 (+1.620...+1.710) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout2 | 10/2 | eq: +1.662 (-0.091) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 81.96% (G:73.90% B:37.47%)
18.04% (G:0.52% B:0.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.054 (+1.608...+1.716) - [0.1%]
Duration: 2 minutes 02 seconds |
|
| 7. | Rollout2 | 7/4 7/2 | eq: +1.657 (-0.096) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 81.11% (G:73.46% B:38.71%)
18.89% (G:0.40% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.053 (+1.604...+1.710) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds |
|
| 8. | Rollout4 | 9/6 7/2 | eq: +1.652 (-0.101) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 80.54% (G:73.40% B:38.57%)
19.46% (G:0.76% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.121 (+1.530...+1.773) - [5.1%]
Duration: 27.7 seconds |
|
| 9. | Rollout5 | 9/4 5/2 | eq: +1.650 (-0.103) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 81.37% (G:74.04% B:37.72%)
18.63% (G:0.54% B:0.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.092 (+1.558...+1.743) - [1.5%]
Duration: 26.5 seconds |
|
| 10. | Rollout4 | 8/5 7/2 | eq: +1.623 (-0.130) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 80.46% (G:72.39% B:37.10%)
19.54% (G:0.93% B:0.06%) | Conf.: ± 0.117 (+1.506...+1.740) - [1.5%]
Duration: 25.6 seconds |
|
| 11. | Rollout4 | 20/15 5/2 | eq: +1.516 (-0.237) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 78.71% (G:69.57% B:35.24%)
21.29% (G:0.27% B:0.06%) | Conf.: ± 0.083 (+1.433...+1.598) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28.8 seconds |
|
| 12. | Rollout4 | 24/21* 9/4 | eq: +1.449 (-0.304) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 78.89% (G:67.39% B:32.13%)
21.11% (G:2.37% B:0.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.075 (+1.374...+1.524) - [0.0%]
Duration: 30.6 seconds |
|
| 13. | XG Roller++ | 24/21* 21/16 | eq: +1.494 (-0.259) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 79.62% (G:68.86% B:30.33%)
20.38% (G:0.71% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 14. | XG Roller++ | 24/21* 10/5 | eq: +1.479 (-0.274) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 78.82% (G:68.33% B:31.46%)
21.18% (G:0.88% B:0.02%) | |
|
| 15. | XG Roller++ | 9/4 7/4 | eq: +1.463 (-0.290) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 78.34% (G:67.96% B:31.65%)
21.66% (G:1.13% B:0.04%) | |
|
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1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 700 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
3 699 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
4 180 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
5 179 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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