A bit surprising this is a pass already. The spares/timing for both players is obviously everything. I put one of the variants where the opp's spare is in a normal spot, his 6pt, below the original problem for reference. Somewhat surprisingly it's still a cube.
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| XGID=-aBBBBBC-A--b-----abbbbc-A:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 73.59% (G:11.80% B:0.42%) | 73.93% (G:13.62% B:0.46%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 26.41% (G:2.77% B:0.11%) | 26.07% (G:3.01% B:0.10%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.565 | +1.176 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.800 (-0.200) | ±0.004 (+0.796..+0.805) |
| Double/Take: | +1.009 (+0.009) | ±0.007 (+1.001..+1.016) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 99.1% | |
| Duration: 43.3 seconds | ||
Variant
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| ||||
| XGID=-aBBBBBC-A--b-----acbbbb-A:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 67.85% (G:12.03% B:0.47%) | 67.64% (G:12.24% B:0.43%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 32.15% (G:3.61% B:0.14%) | 32.36% (G:3.80% B:0.13%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.444 | +0.880 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.639 (-0.028) | ±0.011 (+0.628..+0.650) |
| Double/Take: | +0.667 | ±0.015 (+0.652..+0.682) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.333) | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 99.9% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 14.2 seconds | ||