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How do you win this rubbish?

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Friday, 8 November 2024, at 3:07 a.m.





White is cafecafe

score: 6
pip: 143
7 point match
pip: 169
score: 4

Blue is JLee
XGID=-B-B--C-b---cDa-ab-db-BAA-:0:0:1:55:4:6:0:7:10
Blue to play 55

1.playedRollout123/13 6/1(2)eq: -0.614
Player:
Opponent:		17.22% (G:1.60% B:0.10%)
82.78% (G:26.00% B:2.88%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.619...-0.610) - [100.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 57 seconds
2.Rollout123/18 6/1(3)eq: -0.729 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		12.29% (G:0.94% B:0.10%)
87.71% (G:36.51% B:4.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.734...-0.725) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 11 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

Made the right play. I am so smart.

The rollout says I win 17.2%. Honestly, this feels high, my position is so bad. What does XG know that I don't? What is my long term plan? Get a high anchor and hope to pop big doubles? If so, what is my short term plan? Aggressively slot the 21 point to try to get the high anchor?

JLee

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