No, this is not Takhteh, and yes, I did pick and pass. But XG says to play safe. In general, it seems that I have a tendency to overplay the attack when the opponent has an advanced anchor. But see also the variant below.
        
 
            
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 166 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 117
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aa-BabGAA---bC-A---b-bbb--:2:-1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 15/13 8/7 | eq: +0.112 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.31% (G:18.50% B:0.67%)
41.69% (G:9.65% B:0.30%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.101...+0.122) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/7 6/4* | eq: +0.017 (-0.094) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.47% (G:21.62% B:1.11%)
44.53% (G:14.04% B:0.43%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.006...+0.029) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 16 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 6/4* 4/3 | eq: +0.002 (-0.110) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.17% (G:23.14% B:1.17%)
45.83% (G:14.25% B:0.57%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.012...+0.016) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 26 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Variant:
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 166 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 119
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aa-BabGA-A--bC--A--b-bbb--:1:-1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/4* 4/3 | eq: -0.027 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.38% (G:21.87% B:1.07%)
46.62% (G:14.46% B:0.63%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.035...-0.019) - [99.5%]
Duration: 10 minutes 08 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 16/15 9/7 | eq: -0.042 (-0.015) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.87% (G:17.58% B:0.81%)
46.13% (G:12.22% B:0.35%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.050...-0.034) - [0.5%]
Duration: 10 minutes 10 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release