Some of these suggestions seem tricky to implement. For example, I gather that you would deem the following checker play to be "not a decision":
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 43 | 7 point match | pip: 72 score: 1
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=aBBBBCB-----AA--------bdd-:1:1:1:65:1:0:0:7:10 |
Blue to play 65 |
1. | 4-ply | 13/8 12/6 | eq: +1.000 |
| Player: Opponent: | 84.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 15.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
2. | 4-ply | 13/2 | eq: +1.000 |
| Player: Opponent: | 81.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 18.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
3. | 4-ply | 13/7 12/7 | eq: +1.000 |
| Player: Opponent: | 80.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 19.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
4. | 4-ply | 12/1 | eq: +1.000 |
| Player: Opponent: | 80.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 19.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
5. | 4-ply | 13/7 6/1 | eq: +0.274 (-0.726) |
| Player: Opponent: | 55.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 44.28% (G:6.40% B:0.10%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
But was it a guaranteed cash post-roll? What if the roll had been 55? Let's see what XGR++ says.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 43 | 7 point match | pip: 52 score: 1
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=aBCCBCB---------------bdd-:1:1:1:00:1:0:0:7:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in XG Roller++ | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 79.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 79.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 20.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 20.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.586 | +1.218 |
Cubeful Equities |
No redouble: | +0.872 (-0.118) | |
Redouble/Take: | +0.991 | |
Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.009) |
|
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
Hmmm. What about a rollout?
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 43 | 7 point match | pip: 52 score: 1
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=aBCCBCB---------------bdd-:1:1:1:00:1:0:0:7:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 79.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 79.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 20.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 20.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.586 | +1.228 |
Cubeful Equities |
No redouble: | +0.887 (-0.113) | ±0.003 (+0.884..+0.891) |
Redouble/Take: | +1.038 (+0.038) | ±0.006 (+1.031..+1.044) |
Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 |
|
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass |
Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62908879 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++ Search interval: Gigantic
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 4 minutes 33 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2