It's maybe useful to note that you're offering up a direct shot , with a second blot vulnerable, against a guy with a 5-point board. If you crash that board down just one more point, the Bagai comes squarely into its own.
        
 
            
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 104 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 91
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-ab-CCDBB-A---------acccb-:1:-1:1:51:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/3 4/3 | eq: +1.046 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 90.99% (G:25.00% B:1.09%)
9.01% (G:0.71% B:0.01%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.042...+1.049) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 10/9 6/1* | eq: +1.014 (-0.031) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 91.52% (G:21.01% B:0.70%)
8.48% (G:0.40% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.010...+1.018) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 30 seconds |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 6/1* 4/3 | eq: +0.996 (-0.050) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 90.25% (G:22.52% B:0.79%)
9.75% (G:0.79% B:0.01%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 10/5 4/3 | eq: +0.995 (-0.051) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 90.28% (G:22.07% B:0.81%)
9.72% (G:0.50% B:0.01%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller++ | 10/4 | eq: +0.976 (-0.070) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 90.34% (G:19.90% B:0.66%)
9.66% (G:0.32% B:0.01%) | |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10