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PR or Luck? Here is the real answer if you are looking for (Long but informative)

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Thursday, 11 February 2016, at 4:34 a.m.

In Response To: PR or Luck? Here is the real answer if you are looking for (Long but informative) (__1ERROR1__)

Also, it should not be surprising that a winner always be luckier for a sample size of 1.

Luck is essentially doing better than expectation. If your expectation is less than 100% then your EV in 1 match is <1 match. If you then achieve a 100% win rate, you must have been lucky.

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