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Three Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 2 November 2015, at 10:54 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
Unlimited Game
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-C---eD---d-e--A-A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:0:10

Original Position.....52S-65R-31P-41T-42


1.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.353
Player:
Opponent:
57.34% (G:19.67% B:0.55%)
42.66% (G:9.00% B:0.36%)
Conf.: � 0.007 (+0.347...+0.360) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 32 minutes
2.Rollout124/20 22/20eq: +0.329 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
56.88% (G:13.63% B:0.27%)
43.12% (G:4.72% B:0.17%)
Conf.: � 0.006 (+0.322...+0.335) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 41 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Tim's rollout of the original position.

Below are three variants. Each contrasts the original position in a different way.






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B--D-C---eD---d-e--A-A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 1.....52S-65R-53P-41T-42


1.Rollout124/20 22/20eq: +0.276
Player:
Opponent:
55.68% (G:13.66% B:0.25%)
44.32% (G:5.50% B:0.20%)
Conf.: ¡Ó 0.009 (+0.267...+0.285) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 01 minute
2.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.226 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:
54.58% (G:18.13% B:0.45%)
45.42% (G:9.64% B:0.40%)
Conf.: ¡Ó 0.009 (+0.217...+0.235) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 40 minutes
 
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller







White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 155
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---CC-C---eD---d-e--A-A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 2.....63R-11E-65R-53L-51Z-42


1.Rollout124/20 22/20eq: +0.376
Player:
Opponent:
58.29% (G:14.03% B:0.31%)
41.71% (G:4.72% B:0.17%)
Conf.: ¡Ó 0.007 (+0.369...+0.382) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 27 minutes
2.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.353 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:
57.53% (G:19.07% B:0.58%)
42.47% (G:8.90% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ¡Ó 0.008 (+0.345...+0.360) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 35 minutes
 
1 4297 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller







White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-C---eDa--c-e--A-A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10

Variant 3.....52S-62R-31P-41Z-42


1.Rollout124/20 22/20eq: +0.422
Player:
Opponent:
59.26% (G:15.59% B:0.34%)
40.74% (G:5.07% B:0.20%)
Conf.: ¡Ó 0.009 (+0.413...+0.431) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 11 minutes
2.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.381 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:
57.99% (G:19.73% B:0.61%)
42.01% (G:9.02% B:0.37%)
Conf.: ¡Ó 0.010 (+0.371...+0.390) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 49 minutes
 
1 2944 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31027603
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Mike's variant is similar to Variant 3 -- White blot on 10pt instead of 11pt -- with @ favoring P by a smaller margin (.025).

Nack

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