The article in question is the "Mythbuster" on whether to cover a slotted 1pt. I played 14/9 4/1, covering the 1pt, but the rollout puts 14/6 on top. I have included a variant so that you have two data points to refer to when coming up with your theory of what's going on here.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 128 | Unlimited Game | pip: 121 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-AaBCBB-----dBA--c-bBbc---:1:-1:1:53:0:0:0:0:10 |
Blue to play 53 |
1. | Rollout1 | 14/6 | eq: +0.367 |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.96% (G:25.28% B:0.20%) 35.04% (G:4.93% B:0.19%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.360...+0.374) - [100.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 31 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 14/9 4/1 | eq: +0.331 (-0.036) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.76% (G:24.45% B:0.19%) 36.24% (G:4.66% B:0.18%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.324...+0.338) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 04 seconds |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 128 | Unlimited Game | pip: 122 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-AaBBCB-----dBA--c-bBbc---:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10 |
Blue to play 54 |
1. | XG Roller++ | 14/9 5/1 | eq: +0.327 |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.26% (G:24.17% B:0.15%) 36.74% (G:4.64% B:0.18%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller++ | 14/5 | eq: +0.276 (-0.051) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62.12% (G:22.63% B:0.19%) 37.88% (G:5.63% B:0.23%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release