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BGonline.org Forums
Challenge
Posted By: Bob Koca In Response To: Challenge (Tom Keith)
Date: Tuesday, 28 July 2015, at 9:13 p.m.
This one may qualify.
You want to get hit quickly so the opponent does not get a chance to connect his blots. That argues for slotting the 6 point. However it opens up the 66 joker and once you have the prime in place you can very safely cast your blots and fish for getting hit.
This is a tricky position to play so the RO might not be reliable but slotting may just barely beat making the prime. However if the must move the larger number rule is void then it does not get hit with 36,46, and 56 which may be enough to swing the play
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 291 point match pip: 131
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=a------CEBCB----------a-a-:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:1:10 Blue to play 21
1. Rollout1 11/10 8/6 eq: -0.5613
Player:
Opponent:21.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.06% (G:52.05% B:19.22%)Conf.: ±0.0176 (-0.5788...-0.5437) - [86.6%]
Duration: 8 minutes 02 seconds2. Rollout1 8/6 7/6 eq: -0.5791 (-0.0178)
Player:
Opponent:21.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.95% (G:49.22% B:17.04%)Conf.: ±0.0229 (-0.6019...-0.5562) - [10.9%]
Duration: 6 minutes 12 seconds3. Rollout1 11/10 7/5 eq: -0.5860 (-0.0248)
Player:
Opponent:20.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
79.30% (G:55.10% B:18.66%)Conf.: ±0.0190 (-0.6050...-0.5670) - [2.3%]
Duration: 8 minutes 03 seconds4. Rollout1 8/7 8/6 eq: -0.6041 (-0.0428)
Player:
Opponent:19.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
80.20% (G:53.78% B:17.86%)Conf.: ±0.0247 (-0.6288...-0.5793) - [0.2%]
Duration: 6 minutes 26 seconds5. Rollout1 11/9 10/9 eq: -0.6115 (-0.0502)
Player:
Opponent:19.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
80.58% (G:52.00% B:15.85%)Conf.: ±0.0147 (-0.6263...-0.5968) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 43 seconds1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 16132000
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
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