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BGonline.org Forums
How many is too many? **ROLLOUT**
Posted By: Michael Depreli In Response To: How many is too many? (Michael Depreli)
Date: Thursday, 29 January 2015, at 5:42 p.m.
Here's the rollout without commentary as I haven't had time to study properly it yet in depth.
Having said that not the sort of position that is likely to come up often but if anyone else wants to comment that would be good.
For now it seems hitting two whilst good for gammons gives white too many more compensating wins.Interestingly although it's not a DMP rollout 10/7 8/7 looks like a strong contender.
I played 24/21* 6/5 and hit a blind spot and didn't even consider 24/20* not that I would have played it even if I did.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 1717 point match pip: 143
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-b--bBD-B-C-bC---b-eaa--A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:7:10 Blue to play 31
1. Rollout1 24/20* eq: +0.848
Player:
Opponent:65.21% (G:26.91% B:2.51%)
34.79% (G:5.89% B:0.30%)Conf.: ± 0.032 (+0.816...+0.881) - [99.4%]
Duration: 39 minutes 57 seconds2. Rollout1 24/21* 6/5 eq: +0.793 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:64.29% (G:26.72% B:2.42%)
35.71% (G:6.06% B:0.41%)Conf.: ± 0.026 (+0.768...+0.819) - [0.4%]
Duration: 42 minutes 31 seconds3. Rollout1 24/21* 10/9 eq: +0.785 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:64.21% (G:27.30% B:2.35%)
35.79% (G:6.45% B:0.29%)Conf.: ± 0.027 (+0.757...+0.812) - [0.1%]
Duration: 36 minutes 15 seconds4. Rollout2 24/21* 21/20* eq: +0.782 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:62.48% (G:31.16% B:3.21%)
37.52% (G:5.50% B:0.41%)Conf.: ± 0.025 (+0.757...+0.808) - [0.1%]
Duration: 44 minutes 17 seconds5. Rollout3 10/7 8/7 eq: +0.744 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:66.11% (G:23.71% B:1.82%)
33.89% (G:8.36% B:0.45%)Conf.: ± 0.024 (+0.720...+0.768) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 17 seconds1 417 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Search interval: Large
2 415 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Search interval: Large
3 396 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Search interval: LargeeXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Michael
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