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31P-22E-62R-52O-61N-54 – No Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 14 December 2014, at 9:05 p.m.
In Response To: Another Chance To Run Off the 22pt Anchor (Taper_Mike)
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 148 | Unlimited Game | pip: 152 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a--B-D-C---eD-a-b-cc-B---:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:0:10 |
Blue to play 54 |
1. | Rollout1 | 22/13 | eq: -0.1231 |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.34% (G:9.36% B:0.34%) 52.66% (G:13.59% B:0.35%) | Conf.: ±0.0066 (-0.1297...-0.1165) - [100.0%] Duration: 35 minutes 22 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 13/4 | eq: -0.1872 (-0.0641) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.21% (G:11.33% B:0.27%) 55.79% (G:10.28% B:0.42%) | Conf.: ±0.0061 (-0.1933...-0.1811) - [0.0%] Duration: 33 minutes 02 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 13/9 13/8 | eq: -0.2136 (-0.0905) |
| Player: Opponent: | 43.52% (G:11.43% B:0.34%) 56.48% (G:10.09% B:0.43%) | Conf.: ±0.0062 (-0.2198...-0.2074) - [0.0%] Duration: 32 minutes 50 seconds |
|
|
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 30619052 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Rollout by Taper_Mike 2014-Dec-13 eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658 31P-22E-62R-52O-61N-54-n-tm.xgp n[R O64 D90] "<=5 n[R O40 D62] "&e |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
31P-22E-62R-52O-61N-54 — Unlimited Games Bot | Seed | Equity | Nacbracs | Link |
GnuBg 1.04 2-ply Trunc | 765990745 | –137.908 | n[R O28 D54] '/0.360t | Taper_Mike |
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR | 30619052 | –123.1 | n[R O64 D90] "<=5 | Taper_Mike (above) |
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval | [XGR++ seed] | –132.6 | n[R O40 D62] "&e | Taper_Mike |
Playing two down from the midpoint is a weak attempt to counter-prime that leaves the midpoint stripped. It puts Blue into a game plan where he is a decided underdog. Running is a game plan where his chances are closer to even.
Mike
Messages In This Thread
- Another Chance To Run Off the 22pt Anchor
Taper_Mike -- Friday, 12 December 2014, at 11:17 p.m.
- Another Chance To Run Off the 22pt Anchor
Igor -- Friday, 12 December 2014, at 11:38 p.m.
- What if the roll were 54?
Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 13 December 2014, at 8:30 p.m.
- 31P-22E-62R-52O-61N-54 – No Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 14 December 2014, at 9:05 p.m.
- 31P-22E-62R-52O-61N-63 – No Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 14 December 2014, at 9:07 p.m.
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