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Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Thursday, 11 December 2014, at 9:30 p.m.

In Response To: Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT** (Timothy Chow)

XG rollout confidence figures have always seemed flaky to me, this is just something I rolled out today.

White is XG Roller++ score: 0 pip: 116 7 point match pip: 212 score: 0 Blue is Neil XGID=----B-BaB-A-Aa-c-bbbCbbBB-:1:1:1:65:0:0:0:7:10 Blue to play 65

1. Rollout1 20/14 12/7* eq: -0.198 Player: Opponent: 43.49% (G:5.45% B:0.35%) 56.51% (G:28.28% B:4.45%) Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.218...-0.178) - [84.6%] Duration: 4 minutes 43 seconds 2. Rollout1 20/9 eq: -0.213 (-0.015) Player: Opponent: 43.70% (G:4.99% B:0.31%) 56.30% (G:28.37% B:4.84%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.232...-0.193) - [15.3%] Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds 3. Rollout1 20/14 10/5 eq: -0.234 (-0.036) Player: Opponent: 42.85% (G:5.17% B:0.27%) 57.15% (G:28.53% B:3.91%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.252...-0.217) - [0.1%] Duration: 3 minutes 47 seconds 1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 71284 First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

White is XG Roller++ score: 0 pip: 116 7 point match pip: 212 score: 0 Blue is Neil XGID=----B-BaB-A-Aa-c-bbbCbbBB-:1:1:1:65:0:0:0:7:10 Blue to play 65

1. Rollout1 20/14 12/7* eq: -0.219 Player: Opponent: 43.30% (G:5.56% B:0.30%) 56.70% (G:29.09% B:4.53%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.224...-0.214) - [42.7%] Duration: 54 minutes 03 seconds 2. Rollout1 20/14 10/5 eq: -0.219 (0.000) Player: Opponent: 42.98% (G:5.11% B:0.39%) 57.02% (G:28.11% B:4.04%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.224...-0.214) - [37.7%] Duration: 45 minutes 40 seconds 3. Rollout1 20/9 eq: -0.220 (-0.001) Player: Opponent: 43.34% (G:4.85% B:0.33%) 56.66% (G:28.41% B:4.51%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.225...-0.215) - [19.6%] Duration: 45 minutes 59 seconds 1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 71284 First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Matchplay cube
  Michael Depreli -- Friday, 5 December 2014, at 9:29 p.m.
  • Matchplay cube
    John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 6 December 2014, at 4:13 p.m.
  • Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**
    Michael Depreli -- Sunday, 7 December 2014, at 9:01 a.m.
    • Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 7 December 2014, at 9:06 p.m.
      • Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**
        Michael Depreli -- Monday, 8 December 2014, at 6:11 p.m.
    • Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**
      neilkaz -- Monday, 8 December 2014, at 4:38 a.m.
    • Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**
      Stick -- Monday, 8 December 2014, at 4:10 p.m.
      • Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**
        Michael Depreli -- Monday, 8 December 2014, at 6:30 p.m.
        • Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**
          Keene -- Monday, 8 December 2014, at 6:40 p.m.
          • Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**
            Michael Depreli -- Monday, 8 December 2014, at 7:29 p.m.
            • Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**
              Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 9 December 2014, at 1:12 a.m.
              • Matchplay cube **ROLLOUT**
                Neil Robins -- Thursday, 11 December 2014, at 9:30 p.m.