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BGonline.org Forums
OLM 20140605B The Prime Factors
Posted By: kruidenbuiltje In Response To: OLM 20140605B The Prime Factors (kruidenbuiltje)
Date: Friday, 6 June 2014, at 9:25 a.m.
I thought about the position again, and i now see my reasoning was flawed.
After playing 4/3 4off, the advantage only occurs after{65} followed by two moves containing 3-to-6.
The chance of this occuring is 2/36 x 16/36^2 = about 14/1296.
My mistake was including D6 and D5 in this calculation, since D6 and D5 will probably win a gammon in both a) and b).
So my answer is even more: 5/4 5/1
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