This is actually a borderline take, notice how blue's hitting and covering numbers are diversified.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 98 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 113 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABBCC-----dC---b-ba-cabA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 66.15% (G:33.53% B:0.58%) | 66.26% (G:36.21% B:0.72%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 33.85% (G:5.86% B:0.07%) | 33.74% (G:6.15% B:0.10%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.605 | +1.264 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.420 (-0.573) | ±0.002 (+0.418..+0.422) |
Double/Take: | +0.993 | ±0.003 (+0.990..+0.997) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.007) |
|
Best Cube action: Double / Take |
Rollout details |
20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 47187089 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 32 minutes 14 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Duplicate one of those numbers and it's an easier take.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 98 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 112 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABCBC-----dC---b-ba-cabA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 66.20% (G:33.49% B:0.59%) | 66.07% (G:35.47% B:0.68%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 33.80% (G:5.85% B:0.07%) | 33.93% (G:6.20% B:0.09%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.606 | +1.240 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.426 (-0.544) | ±0.007 (+0.419..+0.434) |
Double/Take: | +0.971 | ±0.013 (+0.958..+0.983) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.029) |
|
Best Cube action: Double / Take |
Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 47187089 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 1 minute 55 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Duplicate both and it's a huge take.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 97 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 112 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABCBC-----dC---b-b-acabA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 61.39% (G:29.29% B:0.54%) | 61.12% (G:31.58% B:0.63%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 38.61% (G:6.53% B:0.11%) | 38.88% (G:6.86% B:0.12%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.460 | +0.950 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.270 (-0.358) | ±0.007 (+0.262..+0.277) |
Double/Take: | +0.628 | ±0.013 (+0.615..+0.641) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.372) |
|
Best Cube action: Double / Take |
Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 47187089 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 2 minutes 07 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Bring one white checker back into play and it's a huge take.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 101 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 113 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABBCC-----dC---b-ca-babA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 63.52% (G:31.58% B:0.53%) | 63.58% (G:33.99% B:0.61%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 36.48% (G:7.06% B:0.09%) | 36.42% (G:7.39% B:0.12%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.520 | +1.085 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.343 (-0.452) | ±0.006 (+0.337..+0.348) |
Double/Take: | +0.795 | ±0.012 (+0.783..+0.807) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.205) |
|
Best Cube action: Double / Take |
Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 37824042 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 2 minutes 04 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Bring two more white checkers down and it's still a double
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 89 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 113 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABBCC-----bC---c-da-babA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 57.65% (G:21.28% B:0.36%) | 57.95% (G:23.43% B:0.45%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 42.35% (G:8.64% B:0.10%) | 42.05% (G:8.91% B:0.15%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.282 | +0.614 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.116 (-0.090) | ±0.007 (+0.109..+0.123) |
Double/Take: | +0.206 | ±0.014 (+0.192..+0.220) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.794) |
|
Best Cube action: Double / Take |
Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 37824042 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 1 minute 49 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
but only because we want to activate our gammons due to Jacoby rule:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 89 | Unlimited Game | pip: 113 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABBCC-----bC---c-da-babA:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 57.69% (G:23.66% B:0.41%) | 57.98% (G:23.42% B:0.42%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 42.31% (G:8.99% B:0.13%) | 42.02% (G:8.93% B:0.14%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.303 | +0.614 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.212 | ±0.001 (+0.211..+0.213) |
Double/Take: | +0.209 (-0.003) | ±0.003 (+0.206..+0.211) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.788) |
|
Best Cube action: No double / Take |
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.4% |
Rollout details |
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 37824042 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 99.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 1 hour 39 minutes |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10