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BGonline.org Forums
2a - 5a cube vs fish
Posted By: Mislav Kovacic In Response To: 2a - 5a cube vs fish (Timothy Chow)
Date: Tuesday, 22 April 2014, at 3:48 p.m.
I definitely agree about the different fish species but from my experience, chance of getting a drop here from most types of fish is VERY slim. At this score, most players (and not just fish) are extremely happy to take the cube and reship it. I've seen people take very deep, thinking it's a must at the score. Funny thing about this score is that 5away's take point is in fact much HIGHER than 2away's take point, if we are talking about mutually non-gammonish position, of course. Lots of people think it's the other way around. It would truly be a miracle to get a pass here from almost anyone, I would say. The position usually needs to have some scare factor to it for fish to pass, and this one definitely doesn't have it. Obviously if I roll doubles and lose my market then even the biggest of fish will pass it, so I can't really count on that. I think, in general, the position is relatively easy to play out, and most fish shouldn't be making any large errors in the course of the game. If I win just a single point, most fish will play badly from 5a-1a, usually not realizing that the next game is a virtual DMP, playing too aggressively because they are trailing etc. So that's additional argument for not doubling. But I think the biggest factor of all is that giving weaker player chance to get 4 points here without too much skill looks like a crime to me. I am certainly NOT doubling vs extremely bad players, but how about 4 PR difference? 3? 2? Etc. I know other factor are also important besides the PR number alone, but would be cool to have some general guidelines.
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