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Rollout

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Wednesday, 16 April 2014, at 5:13 a.m.

In Response To: 63S-65K-1-C.–4–p (Dmitriy Obukhov)

Some people don't double right away. My opponent didn't.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 165
4 point match
pip: 180
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa----DAC---dD-a-c-e----BA:0:0:1:00:0:3:0:4:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 51.42% (G:14.35% B:1.16%) 51.77% (G:14.89% B:1.49%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 48.58% (G:16.01% B:1.92%) 48.23% (G:17.62% B:2.95%)
Cubeless Equities +0.176 +1.039
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.926 (-0.074)±0.005 (+0.921..+0.931)
Double/Take:+1.039 (+0.039)±0.007 (+1.032..+1.046)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8794338
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 46 minutes 44 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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