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42P-43S-43K-21-32@-64R-62U-52T-31

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 20 March 2014, at 4:08 a.m.

In Response To: 42P-54S-43K-21-32@-51H-62U-54T-31 (Taper_Mike)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 146 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 182 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--B-D-----dE---eAe--BA--:0:0:1:13:0:0:3:0:10
42P-43S-43K-21-32@-64R-62U-52T-31

I've upgraded my original sequence so that Blue's seventh-roll move of 62 is "well played." After 10k, the difference is .017. (If I were proofing this for a more permanent document, I would extend the rollout in order to be more certain it is within .02.)

Below is the rollout result for that 62 move. Who can spot the key feature of the position that helps Blue's U (Up, bar/23 24/18) be a closer move here (below) than it is in the final rollout of Mike's post?

........Nactation tutorial

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 153 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 190 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--B-D-----eE-a-c-e--B-AA:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
42P-43S-43K-21-32@-64R-62 [D U17] "<=10

1.	Rollout1	Bar/23 13/7	eq: -0.3724
	Player: Opponent: 42.17% (G:10.44% B:0.39%) 57.83% (G:19.53% B:1.02%) Conf.: ±0.0066 (-0.3790...-0.3659) - [100.0%] Duration: 6 hours 07 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/23 24/18	eq: -0.3891 (-0.0166)
	Player: Opponent: 41.57% (G:9.72% B:0.36%) 58.43% (G:18.71% B:0.82%) Conf.: ±0.0064 (-0.3955...-0.3827) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 hours 14 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 64026929 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Blyou to play 3-1
  Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 17 March 2014, at 10:40 p.m.
  • Blyou to play 3-1
    Stick -- Monday, 17 March 2014, at 10:45 p.m.
    • Blyou to play 3-1
      Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 19 March 2014, at 5:55 a.m.
      • Blyou to play 3-1
        Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 19 March 2014, at 7:05 a.m.
  • Blyou to play 3-1 — 2-ply GnuBg1 Truncated Rollouts
    Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 19 March 2014, at 10:38 a.m.
    • 42P-54S-43K-21-32@-51H-62U-54T-31
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 19 March 2014, at 12:35 p.m.
      • 42P-54S-43K-21-32@-51H-62U-54T-31
        Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 19 March 2014, at 7:36 p.m.
        • 42P-43S-43K-21-32@-64R-62U-52T-31
          Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 20 March 2014, at 4:08 a.m.
          • 42P-43S-43K-21-32@-64R-62U-52T-31
            Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 20 March 2014, at 4:20 a.m.
    • Blyou to play 3-1 — 2-ply GnuBg1 Truncated Rollouts
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 19 March 2014, at 5:04 p.m.