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inconsistent rollouts

Posted By: eXtreme Gammon
Date: Wednesday, 4 April 2012, at 1:16 p.m.

In Response To: inconsistent rollouts (Chris Yep)


Ahhh.. very good point Chris, I had not though about that.

The verison of XG2 (2.00, 2.01 and 2.03) will yeld the same results, however the MET could be the cause of that difference.

The version used is now stored in the RO data (it will not show in the output until an update changes the engine in a way that results are different from the previous version). I do not (but i should) store the MET and if the OB was in use during the RO.

I quickly check the OB has no effect on a 2K RO and got same result up to the 6th decimal

I check overnight the RO with same length and seed than David's. I ran it in one stretch and also interrupting it a few times and got the same results (Kazaross XG2).

 

1. Rollout¹ 13/10 13/9 eq:-0.1479
Player: 49.56% (G:16.46% B:1.58%)
Opponent: 50.44% (G:13.95% B:1.47%)
Confidence: ±0.0040 (-0.1519..-0.1438) - [51.8%]
Duration: 2 hours 11 minutes

2. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/9 eq:-0.1481 (-0.0002)
Player: 49.69% (G:15.02% B:1.49%)
Opponent: 50.31% (G:13.66% B:1.12%)
Confidence: ±0.0040 (-0.1521..-0.1441) - [46.5%]
Duration: 2 hours 13 minutes

3. Rollout¹ 24/20 13/10 eq:-0.1523 (-0.0044)
Player: 49.66% (G:14.76% B:1.35%)
Opponent: 50.34% (G:13.52% B:1.08%)
Confidence: ±0.0039 (-0.1562..-0.1484) - [1.7%]
Duration: 2 hours 19 minutes

4. Rollout¹ 24/21 24/20 eq:-0.1629 (-0.0151)
Player: 49.69% (G:13.31% B:1.34%)
Opponent: 50.31% (G:13.45% B:0.90%)
Confidence: ±0.0039 (-0.1668..-0.1591) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 18 minutes



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