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31P-54D-63 money rollout — extended to 31k — plus 62k agg

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 16 June 2013, at 7:22 p.m.

In Response To: 31P 54D 63 money rollout (Petter Bengtsson)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 158
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b---BD-B---cE--ad-e----B-:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 63
1.Rollout124/18 13/10eq: +0.2599
Player:
Opponent:
56.47% (G:16.78% B:0.91%)
43.53% (G:13.34% B:0.59%)
Conf.: ±0.0032 (+0.2567...+0.2632) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 19 minutes
2.Rollout124/15eq: +0.2487 (-0.0112)
Player:
Opponent:
56.32% (G:15.48% B:0.84%)
43.68% (G:12.63% B:0.46%)
Conf.: ±0.0031 (+0.2456...+0.2519) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 05 minutes
3.Rollout213/10 13/7eq: +0.2053 (-0.0546)
Player:
Opponent:
54.76% (G:18.27% B:1.06%)
45.24% (G:14.26% B:0.98%)
Conf.: ±0.0091 (+0.1962...+0.2144) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 13 minutes
 
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Original Rollout by Petter Bengtsson
2013-Jun-12
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
31P-54D-63-pb.xgp
[S R12 D56] "<=15*5

Rollout Extended by Taper_Mike
2013-Jun-16
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658
31P-54D-63-pbtm.xgp
[S R11 D55] "<=31*5

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

31P-54D-63 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply 1057212023 +262.2 [S R14 D58] /10*1 BgOnline.org
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR [Mike 31k + Petter/Mike 31k] +259.8 [S R14 D55] "<=62*10 [XG2 Aggregate]
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 13579 +259.9 [S R11 D55] "<=31*5 Petter Bengtsson
Taper_Mike
(above)
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 13579 +261.0 [S R12 D56] "<=15*5 Petter Bengtsson
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 84752517 +259.6 [S R16 D56] "<=31*5 Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] +259.9 [S R20 D71] "&e Taper_Mike

31P-54D-63 — According to Score
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR, MET: Kazaross XG2 40 +338 –8–7 [S R36] "<=1 Onur Alan

Key: D (Down) = 13/10 13/7, R (Run) = 24/15, S (Split) = 24/18 13/10

Explanation of nacbracs

Stick’s 10k GnuBg rollout matches up pretty well with the 62k XG2 agg.

Dmitriy gives the best explanation of this result.

Mike

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